Median Group

Revisiting the Insights model

Baeo Maltinsky — Sat, 20 Jul 2019 00:00:00 -0700

Note: This demo is in beta, and you may experience issues such as strange numerical behavior at this time.

Last year, we released our insights-based model that generated a projected timeline using historical data and a prior distribution. We’ve revisited it to address its limitations and improve the data …

Feasibility of Training an AGI using Deep Reinforcement Learning: A Very Rough Estimate

Baeo Maltinsky — Sun, 24 Mar 2019 00:00:00 -0700

Exploring a suggested scenario for near-term AGI

The Brain and Computation

Baeo Maltinsky — Sat, 24 Nov 2018 00:00:00 -0800

Measuring Computation

The computational performance of microprocessors can be quantified by measuring the number of floating-point arithmetic operations the processor can perform per second (FLOPS). This number is very useful for comparing different hardware being used for numerically intensive applications like scientific computing or mining fake internet points, but some …

How rapidly are GPUs improving in price performance?

Baeo Maltinsky — Tue, 13 Nov 2018 12:00:00 -0800

A Brief Look at Trends in GPU price-performance

AGNI

Baeo Maltinsky — Wed, 03 Oct 2018 16:54:36 -0700

A proposal for improved forest fire forecasting

Insight-based AI timelines model

Baeo Maltinsky — Tue, 12 Jun 2018 00:00:00 -0700

For various “percentages of the way” done AI research could be, in terms of percentage of the necessary insights discovered, what is the probability that AI research is not yet that percentage done?

100%

P(no more than …